Summary
doi: 10.25005/2074-0581-2014-16-2-50-55
Predicting method for risk forming of bilateral nephrolithiasis
1Russian Center of Emergency and Radiation Medicine of A.M.Nikiforov
2St. Petersburg State Pediatric Medical University, St. Petersburg, Russia
Multivariate model predicting the risk of bilateral nephrolithiasis development was based on the discriminant analysis of the survey results 653 patients with nephrolithiasis. Clinical testing revealed a high ability of proposed mathematical model to predict the development of bilateral nephrolithiasis. To predict the risk of development of bilateral nephrolithiasis a highly informative is a relative riskindicator. Increasing urine pH over 6,1, reducing the concentration of magnesium urine less 2,26 mmol / l, the degree of saturation values of urine calcium oxalate more 3,27 and relative canalicularreabsorbtionless than 97,5% testify the high risk.
Keywords: bilateral nephrolithiasis, risk forecasting, mathematical model, discriminant analysis.
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